We Wince At Every Hit
Hilary is 2-1 favourite to be next President on PaddyPower.Here are the rest of the odds.Anybody I should be having a punt on?
Bill Richardson, Jeb Bush and Condi Rice, while very unlikely to be the next president, are probably more likely than the current odds reflect.Richardson is a governor, is technically hispanic but appears anglo and has a good resume. Jeb is Catholic, spanish-speaking and the popular ex-governor of Florida. Since Gerald Ford, every president except George H.W. Bush has been the governor of a southern state.Condi is a real long-shot, but if something were to happen to Cheney in the next few months and Condi became vice-president, she'd have a decent shot at the nomination, if she wanted it.
Looking over PaddyPower's lines, I see that they have:For Republican Nominee for President 2008:Sam Brownback 14 - 1 Bill Frist 25 - 1 Arnold Schwarzenegger 40 - 1 Rick Santorum 50 - 1 You may safely bet that none of them will be the 2008 GOP nominee.For Democratic Nominee for President 2008:Joseph Biden 25 - 1John Kerry 25 - 1Tom Daschle 33 - 1Tom Vilsack 33 - 1 Wesley Clark 40 - 1 You may safely bet that none of them will be the 2008 Democrat Party nominee. Vilsack, for instance, has already dropped out of the race. They also have:Al Gore 9 - 2 John Edwards 5 - 1 While I'm not as certain about betting against these guys as I am about the ones that I mentioned as "safe", I'd be willing to risk it for those odds.For Winning Candidate, U.S. President 2008: Barack Obama 9 - 2 Wesley Clark 33 - 1Tom Vilsack 33 - 1 John Kerry 40 - 1 Joseph Biden 50 - 1 Bill Frist 50 - 1George Pataki 50 - 1 Tom Ridge 50 - 1 Tom Daschle 66 - 1 Michael Bloomberg 80 - 1 Rick Santorum 80 - 1 Arnold Schwarzenegger 100 - 1None of them will win. The U.S. Constitution would have to be amended for Schwarzenegger to win; feel free to bet your life's savings against that happening before the next election.
Additionally, as much as I'd love to see Condi as Prez, I suspect that Hill would wipe the floor with her - Condi's never run a national political campaign.
Condi is at a disadvantage on the political stage. She a lady born and bred and getting down and dirty would be anathema to her. I was just wondering why she's been so quiet lately.
I don't think Condi has the slightest interest in running for political office. Party operatives drool over her prospects because she would be a two-fer: the first black and the first female president. I agree with erp, I don't see her as a street fighter.
Thanks for the tips guys. At 50-1, Condi and Frist have to be worth a couple of quid each.
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